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DAILY MICROSTRUCTURE BRIEF
2026-05-11 · Monday · covers prior 24h UTC · peak window 13:00-16:00
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New #1 route by executability: coinbase→okx (BTC/USD). coinbase→okx (DOT/USDT) moved down.
TOP ROUTES (by executability)
1. coinbase→okx (BTC/USD)
Median spread 0.018% · half-life 1973ms · survival @1s: 98.6% · executability 0.0%
2. coinbase→cryptocom (BTC/USD)
Median spread 0.012% · half-life 1944ms · survival @1s: 97.0% · executability 0.0%
3. coinbase→okx (ETH/USD)
Median spread 0.019% · half-life 1927ms · survival @500ms: 96.1% · executability 0.0%
Cited data: 39487 samples across 3 routes, prior 24h UTC.
SPREAD DECAY
Median half-life across all routes: 1663ms.
Survival @ T+1s: 82.3% of 198076 samples.
Spreads > 0.40% decayed to below fee floor within 0ms median (0 samples).
No material deviation from 7-day decay baselines.
BEST EXECUTION WINDOW
07:00-08:00 UTC (15:00-16:00 SGT) — 86.2% of samples survived to T+500ms above fee floor. at the 24h average.
Second: 06:00-07:00 UTC — 85.0% survival.
EXCHANGE BEHAVIOUR
No exchange state transitions across the 24-hour window.
VS YESTERDAY
Samples: 198076 (-435556)
Top route: coinbase→okx (BTC/USD) median spread 0.018%
Survival @1s: 82.3% (+130bps vs yesterday)
Median spread: 0.011% (+1bps vs yesterday)
CONSTRAINTS ON THIS DATA
Spread persistence varies materially by route and hour of day.
High-spread events (>0.40%) decay faster than the median.
Results describe the prior 24h only — not predictive.
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Bot activity — not financial advice.
Every signal blockchain-verified: proofsystems.ai/signals
Full archive: proofsystems.ai/brief
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Monday, 11 May 2026
RULE_4
Published 2026-05-11 · 232 words
Bot activity — not financial advice.
Signal archive: proofsystems.ai/signals